Extreme Risk Management

Cover:

Contents:
Chapter 1 Plausibility versus Probability: Two Worldviews
Chapter 2 The Evolution of Modern Analytics
Chapter 3 Natural Selection on Wall Street
Chapter 4 A Review: Risk Management Metrics, Models, and Best Practice
Chapter 5 Systemic Risk and Systems Thinking
Chapter 6 Belief Systems and the Inadvertent Conspiracy: The Global Capital Markets as System
Chapter 7 Analytic Tradecraft and Model Risk
Chapter 8 The Future as Forecast: Probability, Likelihood, and Uncertainty
Chapter 9 An Alternative Path to Actionable Intelligence

Chapter 10 Solutions: Moving toward a Connectivist Approach
Chapter 11 An Introduction to Causality: Theory, Models, and Inference
Chapter 12 Bayesian Inference Networks: Estimating Vulnerability, Consequences, and Likelihood
Chapter 13 Securities Valuation, Risk Measurement, and Risk Inference Networks
Chapter 14 Risk Fusion and Supermodels: A Framework for Enterprise Risk Management
Chapter 15 Inferring Causality from Historical Market Behavior
Chapter 16 Sensemaking for Warnings: Reverse-Engineering Market Intelligence
Chapter 17 The United States as Enterprise: Implications for National Policy and Security

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